Combat Edge Intelligence

Andy Enz vs Marcelo Guimaraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andy Enz
us

Andy Enz

“Tank Mode”

10-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record9-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Gracie Barra AlaskaTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andy EnzNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Marcelo GuimaraesNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.51
Sig. strikes / min
4.67
23%
Strike accuracy
52%
5.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.41
58%
Strike defense
63%
0
Takedown avg.
1.99
0%
Takedown accuracy
14%
58%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andy EnzMarcelo Guimaraes
160016502013201420152016

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
7 (70%)
Submission
2 (22%)
2 (20%)
Decision
6 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Andy Enz54%
Marcelo Guimaraes 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andy Enz a 54% favorite over Marcelo Guimaraes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcelo Guimaraes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1606), separated by just 2 points.

Andy Enz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marcelo Guimaraes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andy Enz finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Marcelo Guimaraes 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.