Combat Edge Intelligence

Andy Enz vs Thiago Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andy Enz
us

Andy Enz

“Tank Mode”

10-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record22-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach 76"
185 lbsWeight241 lbs
Gracie Barra AlaskaTeamTeam Marreta

What's at stake

Thiago Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Andy Enz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andy EnzNow 1604
If they win+20→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1592
Thiago SantosNow 1694
If they win+9→ 1703
If they lose-15→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.51
Sig. strikes / min
3.72
23%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.57
58%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0.88
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
58%
Takedown defense
66%
0
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Andy EnzThiago Santos
1600165017001750201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
15 (68%)
7 (70%)
Submission
1 (5%)
2 (20%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Santos51%
Andy Enz 49%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Santos a 51% favorite over Andy Enz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Thiago Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1694 to 1604, a 90-point edge.

Andy Enz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Thiago Santos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andy Enz finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Santos 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.