Combat Edge Intelligence

Andy Ogle vs Ayumu Yamamoto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andy Ogle
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Andy Ogle

“The Little Axe”

9-6-0FeatherweightUFC

1556Solid

Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record6-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
144 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andy OgleNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Ayumu YamamotoNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.24
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
1.44
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andy OgleAyumu Yamamoto
155016002013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
3 (33%)
Submission
3 (50%)
4 (44%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ayumu Yamamoto57%
Andy Ogle 43%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ayumu Yamamoto a 57% favorite over Andy Ogle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andy Ogle's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1552), separated by just 4 points.

Andy Ogle enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andy Ogle finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Ayumu Yamamoto 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.