Andy Ogle vs Charles Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record37-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach74"
144 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team KaobonTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Charles Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Andy Ogle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1582
If they lose-6→ 1550
If they win+4→ 1816
If they lose-20→ 1792
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1766 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andy OgleCharles Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Oliveira92%
Andy Ogle 8%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Oliveira a 92% favorite over Andy Ogle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Charles Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1556, a 256-point edge.
Andy Ogle enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Andy Ogle finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Charles Oliveira 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.