Combat Edge Intelligence

Andy Ogle vs Cole Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andy Ogle
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Andy Ogle

“The Little Axe”

9-6-0FeatherweightUFC

1556Solid
Cole Miller
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Cole Miller

“Magrinho”

21-11-0FeatherweightUFC

1580Solid

Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record21-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReach74,0"
144 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KaobonTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Cole Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Andy Ogle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andy OgleNow 1556
If they win+17→ 1573
If they lose-15→ 1541
Cole MillerNow 1580
If they win+11→ 1591
If they lose-13→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.24
Sig. strikes / min
3
45%
Strike accuracy
33%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
50%
Strike defense
59%
1.44
Takedown avg.
0.60
27%
Takedown accuracy
36%
58%
Takedown defense
39%
0
Submission avg.
1.79

Trajectory

Andy OgleCole Miller
155016002013201420152016

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
3 (33%)
Submission
15 (71%)
4 (44%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Andy Ogle60%
Cole Miller 40%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Andy Ogle a 60% favorite over Cole Miller in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cole Miller's way (47%).

Cole Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1580 to 1556, a 24-point edge.

Andy Ogle enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Cole Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andy Ogle finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Cole Miller 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.