Andy Uhrich vs Jesus Hernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record3-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
If they win+24→ 1604
If they lose-24→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andy UhrichJesus Hernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jesus Hernandez56%
Andy Uhrich 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jesus Hernandez a 56% favorite over Andy Uhrich in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andy Uhrich's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1580), separated by just 0 points.
Jesus Hernandez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Andy Uhrich finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Jesus Hernandez 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.