Combat Edge Intelligence

Andy Waters vs Genji Umeno

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andy Waters
us

Andy Waters

“Deep”

0-0-0FeatherweightCOGA

1471Average

Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'11"
45,0"Reach69.3"
145 lbsWeight141 lbs
TeamPhoenix

What's at stake

Genji Umeno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Andy Waters carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andy WatersNow 1471
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
Genji UmenoNow 1486
If they win+23→ 1509
If they lose-25→ 1461

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.43
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0.44
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.88
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andy WatersGenji Umeno
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Andy Waters and Genji Umeno within a point of even.

Genji Umeno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1486 to 1471, a 15-point edge.

Genji Umeno enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.