Andy Waters vs Kyohei Hagiwara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record9-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'10"
45,0"Reach71.1"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TeamTeam Smoker
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
If they win+16→ 1495
If they lose-16→ 1463
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andy WatersKyohei Hagiwara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Andy Waters and Kyohei Hagiwara within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1479), separated by just 8 points.
Kyohei Hagiwara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kyohei Hagiwara 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.