Angel Alvarez vs Austin Hubbard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record16-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
69"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Angel AlvarezAustin Hubbard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Angel Alvarez64%
Austin Hubbard 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Angel Alvarez a 64% favorite over Austin Hubbard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1604), separated by just 2 points.
Austin Hubbard enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Angel Alvarez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Austin Hubbard 44%.
Austin Hubbard carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.