Combat Edge Intelligence

Angel Alvarez vs Clay French

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record19-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamGilbert Grappling

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Angel AlvarezNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Clay FrenchNow 1610
If they win+12→ 1622
If they lose-12→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Angel AlvarezClay French
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
0 (0%)
Submission
11 (58%)
7 (64%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Angel Alvarez66%
Clay French 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Angel Alvarez a 66% favorite over Clay French in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1610), separated by just 0 points.

Angel Alvarez enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Angel Alvarez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Clay French 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.