Combat Edge Intelligence

Angel Alvarez vs Joe Proctor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
69"Reach72,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Aggression

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Angel AlvarezNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Joe ProctorNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.39
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.83

Trajectory

Angel AlvarezJoe Proctor
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (45%)
7 (64%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Angel Alvarez70%
Joe Proctor 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Angel Alvarez a 70% favorite over Joe Proctor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1596), separated by just 10 points.

Joe Proctor enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Angel Alvarez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Joe Proctor 64%.

Joe Proctor carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.