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Combat Edge Intelligence

Angel Alvarez vs Martin Svensson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'1"
69"Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamFrontier MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Angel AlvarezNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Martin SvenssonNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
Not available
Strike accuracy
38%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.91
Not available
Strike defense
39%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Angel AlvarezMartin Svensson
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (60%)
7 (64%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Angel Alvarez55%
Martin Svensson 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Angel Alvarez a 55% favorite over Martin Svensson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.

Angel Alvarez finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Martin Svensson 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.