Combat Edge Intelligence

Angel Pacheco vs Caolán Loughran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Start BJJTeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

Caolán Loughran is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Angel Pacheco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Angel PachecoNow 1568
If they win+20→ 1588
If they lose-12→ 1556
Caolán LoughranNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-20→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

9.50
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
39%
Strike accuracy
45%
11.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.80
41%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
5
0%
Takedown accuracy
42%
29%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Angel PachecoCaolán Loughran
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
2 (29%)
Submission
3 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Caolán Loughran73%
Angel Pacheco 27%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Caolán Loughran a 73% favorite over Angel Pacheco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Caolán Loughran holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1568, a 92-point edge.

Angel Pacheco enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Angel Pacheco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Caolán Loughran 73%.

Angel Pacheco carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.