Angel Pacheco vs Ryo Hirayama
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record4-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Start BJJ· avg 1613 EloTeamX-Treme Ebina
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Angel PachecoRyo Hirayama
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Hirayama58%
Angel Pacheco 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Hirayama a 58% favorite over Angel Pacheco in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Angel Pacheco's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1566), separated by just 3 points.
Angel Pacheco enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Angel Pacheco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Hirayama 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.