Angela Magana vs Ayane Hirata
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-10-0Record4-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'1"Height4'10"
65,0"Reach-
115 lbsWeight108 lbs
IndependentTeamBurst
What's at stake
Angela Magana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ayane Hirata carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1523
If they lose-17→ 1491
If they win+25→ 1517
If they lose-23→ 1469
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Angela MaganaAyane Hirata
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ayane Hirata70%
Angela Magana 30%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Ayane Hirata a 70% favorite over Angela Magana in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Angela Magana's way (48%).
Angela Magana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1508 to 1492, a 16-point edge.
Angela Magana enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Ayane Hirata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Angela Magana finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ayane Hirata 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.