Combat Edge Intelligence

Angelo Terenzio vs Josh Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Smith
us

Josh Smith

“That Guy”

10-8-0FlyweightBTC

1507Average

Tale of the tape

3-3-0Record10-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
121 lbsWeight125 lbs
TBDTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Angelo TerenzioNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485
Josh SmithNow 1507
If they win+12→ 1519
If they lose-12→ 1495

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Angelo TerenzioJosh Smith
1500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (100%)
Submission
3 (30%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Angelo Terenzio61%
Josh Smith 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Angelo Terenzio a 61% favorite over Josh Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1509 vs 1507), separated by just 2 points.

Angelo Terenzio finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Josh Smith 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.