Ansar Chalangov vs Josh Koscheck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Legion Fight TeamTeamDethrone Base Camp
What's at stake
Ansar Chalangov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Josh Koscheck carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1678
If they lose-17→ 1646
If they win+13→ 1657
If they lose-11→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ansar ChalangovJosh Koscheck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ansar Chalangov68%
Josh Koscheck 32%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ansar Chalangov a 68% favorite over Josh Koscheck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ansar Chalangov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1644, a 19-point edge.
Ansar Chalangov enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Ansar Chalangov finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Josh Koscheck 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.