Ansar Chalangov vs Thiago Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record23-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach70,0"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Legion Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Ansar Chalangov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Thiago Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1675
If they lose-20→ 1643
If they win+15→ 1588
If they lose-9→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ansar ChalangovThiago Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thiago Alves62%
Ansar Chalangov 38%Elo baseline: 37%
The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Alves a 62% favorite over Ansar Chalangov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ansar Chalangov's way (37%).
Ansar Chalangov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1573, a 90-point edge.
Ansar Chalangov enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Thiago Alves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ansar Chalangov finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Alves 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.