Ansar Khamzaev vs Ray Hayes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-0-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
74"Reach-
156 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamArsenal Elite
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ansar KhamzaevRay Hayes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ray Hayes55%
Ansar Khamzaev 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ray Hayes a 55% favorite over Ansar Khamzaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.
Ansar Khamzaev enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Ray Hayes enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ansar Khamzaev finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ray Hayes 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.