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Combat Edge Intelligence

Antônio César vs Marcos Degli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record15-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'6"
-Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Carioca Academy· 1615 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamVale Top Team· 1670 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antônio CésarNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Marcos DegliNow 1712
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Antônio CésarMarcos Degli
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
2 (14%)
Submission
5 (33%)
8 (57%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Antônio César53%
Marcos Degli 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Antônio César a 53% favorite over Marcos Degli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1712), separated by just 3 points.

Antônio César enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Marcos Degli enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Antônio César finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Degli 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.