Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira vs Randy Couture
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-10-1Record19-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
77"Reach75"
240 lbsWeight203 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Randy Couture carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1789
If they lose-14→ 1765
If they win+14→ 1734
If they lose-10→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1688 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Antônio Rodrigo NogueiraRandy Couture
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira76%
Randy Couture 24%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira a 76% favorite over Randy Couture in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1720, a 59-point edge.
Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Randy Couture 58%.
Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira and Randy Couture share 1 common opponent: Tim Sylvia.
Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.