Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Figueroa vs Kegan Gennrich

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
-Reach75"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony FigueroaNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Kegan GennrichNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Anthony FigueroaKegan Gennrich
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
1 (11%)
Submission
5 (42%)
5 (56%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Kegan Gennrich54%
Anthony Figueroa 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kegan Gennrich a 54% favorite over Anthony Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Figueroa's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1647), separated by just 2 points.

Anthony Figueroa enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Kegan Gennrich enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Anthony Figueroa finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Kegan Gennrich 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.