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Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Adams vs Brandon Holmes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record6-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
43,0"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamTNT Martial Arts & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony AdamsNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Brandon HolmesNow 1592
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.17
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
44%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Anthony AdamsBrandon Holmes
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (89%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Brandon Holmes53%
Anthony Adams 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Holmes a 53% favorite over Anthony Adams in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Adams's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.

Anthony Adams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Adams finishes 11% of wins inside the distance, Brandon Holmes 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.