Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Birchak vs Dileno Lopes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record21-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
69,0"Reach65.00
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Luta Elite MMATeamNova Uniao Manaus

What's at stake

Anthony Birchak is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dileno Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony BirchakNow 1607
If they win+9→ 1616
If they lose-23→ 1584
Dileno LopesNow 1443
If they win+35→ 1478
If they lose-13→ 1430

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.93
Sig. strikes / min
2.37
37%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
57%
Strike defense
54%
0.48
Takedown avg.
2.50
14%
Takedown accuracy
31%
62%
Takedown defense
100%
0.48
Submission avg.
1.50

Trajectory

Anthony BirchakDileno Lopes
1450150015501600165020192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
4 (19%)
8 (50%)
Submission
15 (71%)
3 (19%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Birchak75%
Dileno Lopes 25%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Birchak a 75% favorite over Dileno Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Anthony Birchak holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1607 to 1443, a 164-point edge.

Anthony Birchak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dileno Lopes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Anthony Birchak finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Dileno Lopes 90%.

Anthony Birchak carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.