Anthony Birchak vs Joe Soto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record18-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69,0"Reach65,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Luta Elite MMATeamCentral Valley Combat Academy
What's at stake
Joe Soto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Anthony Birchak carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1624
If they lose-13→ 1592
If they win+10→ 1674
If they lose-14→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony BirchakJoe Soto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Soto70%
Anthony Birchak 30%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Soto a 70% favorite over Anthony Birchak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Joe Soto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1605, a 59-point edge.
Anthony Birchak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Birchak finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Joe Soto 83%.
Anthony Birchak carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.