Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Birchak vs Osimkhon Rakhmonov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-8-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69,0"Reach65.4"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Luta Elite MMATeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony BirchakNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Osimkhon RakhmonovNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.93
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
37%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0.48
Takedown avg.
TBD
14%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
62%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.48
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Anthony BirchakOsimkhon Rakhmonov
15501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
8 (50%)
Submission
3 (18%)
3 (19%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Osimkhon Rakhmonov79%
Anthony Birchak 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Osimkhon Rakhmonov a 79% favorite over Anthony Birchak in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Birchak's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1607), separated by just 0 points.

Anthony Birchak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Birchak finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Osimkhon Rakhmonov 65%.

Anthony Birchak carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.