Anthony Birchak vs Tony Gravely
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record23-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
69,0"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Luta Elite MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Tony Gravely is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Anthony Birchak carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1626
If they lose-13→ 1594
If they win+9→ 1693
If they lose-15→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony BirchakTony Gravely
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tony Gravely78%
Anthony Birchak 22%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Tony Gravely a 78% favorite over Anthony Birchak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Tony Gravely holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1607, a 77-point edge.
Anthony Birchak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tony Gravely enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Birchak finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Tony Gravely 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.