Anthony Figueroa vs Fran Breen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-8-1Record5-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1553
If they lose-15→ 1521
If they win+23→ 1570
If they lose-25→ 1522
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony FigueroaFran Breen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fran Breen59%
Anthony Figueroa 41%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Fran Breen a 59% favorite over Anthony Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1547), separated by just 11 points.
Anthony Figueroa finishes 27% of wins inside the distance, Fran Breen 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.