Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Figueroa vs Fran Breen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Fran Breen

Fran Breen

“Fran”

5-2-0FlyweightCWFC

1546Average

Tale of the tape

11-8-1Record5-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony FigueroaNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Fran BreenNow 1546
If they win+23→ 1569
If they lose-25→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Anthony FigueroaFran Breen
150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (73%)
Decision
3 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Fran Breen60%
Anthony Figueroa 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Fran Breen a 60% favorite over Anthony Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1546), separated by just 10 points.

Anthony Figueroa finishes 27% of wins inside the distance, Fran Breen 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.