Anthony Figueroa vs Rafael Dias
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-8-1Record20-9-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamSD Training System
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
If they win+12→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony FigueroaRafael Dias
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Figueroa52%
Rafael Dias 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Figueroa a 52% favorite over Rafael Dias in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rafael Dias's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1537), separated by just 1 points.
Anthony Figueroa finishes 27% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Dias 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.