Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Hamilton vs Damian Grabowski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-11-0Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'1"
76,0"Reach41,0"
261 lbsWeight261 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamLutadores Opole

What's at stake

Damian Grabowski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Anthony Hamilton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony HamiltonNow 1597
If they win+15→ 1612
If they lose-9→ 1588
Damian GrabowskiNow 1684
If they win+9→ 1693
If they lose-15→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.91
Sig. strikes / min
4
66%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.65
46%
Strike defense
51%
2.62
Takedown avg.
0
42%
Takedown accuracy
0%
79%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Anthony HamiltonDamian Grabowski
1600165017002017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

10 (48%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
2 (10%)
Submission
11 (50%)
9 (43%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Damian Grabowski72%
Anthony Hamilton 28%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Damian Grabowski a 72% favorite over Anthony Hamilton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Damian Grabowski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1597, a 87-point edge.

Anthony Hamilton enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Damian Grabowski enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Anthony Hamilton finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Damian Grabowski 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.