Anthony Hamilton vs Daniel Spitz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-11-0Record6-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'7"
76,0"Reach45,0"
261 lbsWeight240 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamSikjitsu
What's at stake
Anthony Hamilton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Daniel Spitz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1608
If they lose-13→ 1584
If they win+25→ 1604
If they lose-23→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony HamiltonDaniel Spitz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Spitz60%
Anthony Hamilton 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Spitz a 60% favorite over Anthony Hamilton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Hamilton's way (47%).
Anthony Hamilton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1597 to 1579, a 18-point edge.
Anthony Hamilton enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Daniel Spitz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Hamilton finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Spitz 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.