Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Hamilton vs Marcus Buchecha

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-11-0Record5-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
76,0"Reach80"
261 lbsWeight254 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony HamiltonNow 1597
If they win+12→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1585
Marcus BuchechaNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.91
Sig. strikes / min
1.70
66%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.17
46%
Strike defense
51%
2.62
Takedown avg.
2
42%
Takedown accuracy
17%
79%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Anthony HamiltonMarcus Buchecha
160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (48%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
2 (10%)
Submission
4 (80%)
9 (43%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcus Buchecha63%
Anthony Hamilton 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcus Buchecha a 63% favorite over Anthony Hamilton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Hamilton's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1593), separated by just 4 points.

Anthony Hamilton enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Anthony Hamilton finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Buchecha 100%.

Marcus Buchecha carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.