Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Hamilton vs Shamil Abdurakhimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-11-0Record20-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
76,0"Reach76"
261 lbsWeight263 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamPeresvet FT

What's at stake

Shamil Abdurakhimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Anthony Hamilton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony HamiltonNow 1596
If they win+14→ 1610
If they lose-10→ 1586
Shamil AbdurakhimovNow 1650
If they win+10→ 1660
If they lose-14→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.91
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
66%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
46%
Strike defense
55%
2.62
Takedown avg.
1.01
42%
Takedown accuracy
23%
79%
Takedown defense
45%
0
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Anthony HamiltonShamil Abdurakhimov
16001650170020222023

Win method breakdown

10 (48%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
2 (10%)
Submission
4 (20%)
9 (43%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Shamil Abdurakhimov70%
Anthony Hamilton 30%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Abdurakhimov a 70% favorite over Anthony Hamilton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Shamil Abdurakhimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1596, a 54-point edge.

Anthony Hamilton enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Anthony Hamilton finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdurakhimov 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.