Anthony Hernandez vs Brendan Allen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record27-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
75"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Brendan Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Anthony Hernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1758
If they lose-12→ 1726
If they win+9→ 1827
If they lose-15→ 1803
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony HernandezBrendan Allen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brendan Allen70%
Anthony Hernandez 30%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Brendan Allen a 70% favorite over Anthony Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Brendan Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1818 to 1738, a 80-point edge.
Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Brendan Allen 74%.
Anthony Hernandez and Brendan Allen share 1 common opponent: Edmen Shahbazyan.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.