Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Hernandez vs John Salter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record19-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamGym-O

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony HernandezNow 1724
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
John SalterNow 1725
If they win+12→ 1737
If they lose-12→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.57
Sig. strikes / min
1.35
61%
Strike accuracy
24%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
51%
Strike defense
69%
5.88
Takedown avg.
2.61
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
68%
Takedown defense
67%
1.63
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Anthony HernandezJohn Salter
17001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
9 (60%)
Submission
10 (53%)
3 (20%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Hernandez70%
John Salter 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Hernandez a 70% favorite over John Salter in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Salter's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1725), separated by just 1 points.

Anthony Hernandez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, John Salter 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.