Anthony Hernandez vs Josh Fremd
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record13-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Anthony Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Josh Fremd carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1737
If they lose-19→ 1705
If they win+19→ 1668
If they lose-13→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony HernandezJosh Fremd
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Hernandez71%
Josh Fremd 29%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Hernandez a 71% favorite over Josh Fremd in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Anthony Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1649, a 75-point edge.
Anthony Hernandez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Josh Fremd 77%.
Anthony Hernandez and Josh Fremd share 1 common opponent: Roman Kopylov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.