Anthony Hernandez vs Josh Fremd
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Anthony Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Josh Fremd carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1748
If they lose-22→ 1716
If they win+22→ 1632
If they lose-10→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1719 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony HernandezJosh Fremd
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Hernandez84%
Josh Fremd 16%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Hernandez a 84% favorite over Josh Fremd in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Anthony Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1738 to 1610, a 128-point edge.
Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Josh Fremd 73%.
Anthony Hernandez and Josh Fremd share 1 common opponent: Roman Kopylov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.