Anthony Hernandez vs Marc-André Barriault
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record17-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Anthony Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Marc-André Barriault carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-20→ 1704
If they win+15→ 1652
If they lose-9→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony HernandezMarc-André Barriault
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Hernandez87%
Marc-André Barriault 13%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Hernandez a 87% favorite over Marc-André Barriault in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Anthony Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1637, a 87-point edge.
Anthony Hernandez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Marc-André Barriault 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.