Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Hernandez vs Michel Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-0Record32-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamOvercome Academy

What's at stake

Anthony Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Michel Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony HernandezNow 1724
If they win+15→ 1739
If they lose-17→ 1707
Michel PereiraNow 1695
If they win+13→ 1708
If they lose-11→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.57
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
61%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
51%
Strike defense
51%
5.88
Takedown avg.
1.21
0%
Takedown accuracy
57%
68%
Takedown defense
76%
1.63
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Anthony HernandezMichel Pereira
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
11 (34%)
9 (60%)
Submission
9 (28%)
3 (20%)
Decision
12 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Hernandez53%
Michel Pereira 47%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Hernandez a 53% favorite over Michel Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Anthony Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1695, a 29-point edge.

Anthony Hernandez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Michel Pereira 63%.

Anthony Hernandez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.