Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Hernandez vs Sean Strickland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record31-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Sean Strickland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Anthony Hernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony HernandezNow 1739
If they win+20→ 1759
If they lose-12→ 1727
Sean StricklandNow 1823
If they win+9→ 1832
If they lose-15→ 1808

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1741 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.57
Sig. strikes / min
6.04
61%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.57
51%
Strike defense
61%
5.88
Takedown avg.
0.71
0%
Takedown accuracy
64%
68%
Takedown defense
77%
1.63
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Anthony HernandezSean Strickland
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
12 (39%)
9 (60%)
Submission
4 (13%)
3 (20%)
Decision
15 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Strickland63%
Anthony Hernandez 37%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Strickland a 63% favorite over Anthony Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Sean Strickland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1739, a 84-point edge.

Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.