Anthony Hernandez vs Sean Strickland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record31-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Sean Strickland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Anthony Hernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1712
If they win+9→ 1833
If they lose-15→ 1809
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony HernandezSean Strickland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Strickland75%
Anthony Hernandez 25%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Strickland a 75% favorite over Anthony Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Sean Strickland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1824 to 1724, a 100-point edge.
Anthony Hernandez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Anthony Hernandez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.