Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Ivy vs Christian Aguilera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Anthony Ivy
us

Anthony Ivy

“Aquaman”

15-8-0MiddleweightPFL

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record14-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'9"
74"Reach72,0"
176 lbsWeight170 lbs
W4R Training Center· 1622 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTotal MMA Studios

What's at stake

Anthony Ivy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Christian Aguilera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony IvyNow 1636
If they win+14→ 1650
If they lose-18→ 1618
Christian AguileraNow 1593
If they win+18→ 1611
If they lose-14→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.50
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
42%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
51%
Strike defense
49%
4.69
Takedown avg.
0
21%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Anthony IvyChristian Aguilera
1550160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
11 (79%)
8 (53%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Anthony Ivy and Christian Aguilera within a point of even.

Anthony Ivy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1593, a 43-point edge.

Christian Aguilera enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Ivy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Christian Aguilera 79%.

Anthony Ivy carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.