Anthony Ivy vs Christian Aguilera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record14-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'9"
74"Reach72,0"
176 lbsWeight170 lbs
W4R Training Center· 1597 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTotal MMA Studios
What's at stake
Anthony Ivy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Christian Aguilera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1665
If they lose-19→ 1633
If they win+19→ 1612
If they lose-13→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony IvyChristian Aguilera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Ivy51%
Christian Aguilera 49%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Ivy a 51% favorite over Christian Aguilera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Anthony Ivy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1593, a 59-point edge.
Christian Aguilera enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anthony Ivy finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Christian Aguilera 79%.
Anthony Ivy carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.