Anthony Ivy vs Francis Carmont
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record25-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
176 lbsWeight205 lbs
W4R Training Center· 1597 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony IvyFrancis Carmont
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francis Carmont54%
Anthony Ivy 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francis Carmont a 54% favorite over Anthony Ivy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Ivy's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1650), separated by just 2 points.
Anthony Ivy finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Francis Carmont 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.