Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Ivy vs Kazushi Sakuraba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Anthony Ivy
us

Anthony Ivy

“Aquaman”

15-8-0MiddleweightPFL

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record26-17-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
176 lbsWeight167 lbs
W4R Training CenterTeamLaughter7

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony IvyNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
Kazushi SakurabaNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.50
Sig. strikes / min
1.26
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
51%
Strike defense
52%
4.69
Takedown avg.
1.26
21%
Takedown accuracy
31%
100%
Takedown defense
49%
0
Submission avg.
1.74

Trajectory

Anthony IvyKazushi Sakuraba
1550160016502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
4 (15%)
8 (53%)
Submission
19 (73%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Ivy68%
Kazushi Sakuraba 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Ivy a 68% favorite over Kazushi Sakuraba in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kazushi Sakuraba's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1638), separated by just 2 points.

Kazushi Sakuraba enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Anthony Ivy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kazushi Sakuraba 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.