Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Ivy vs Nathan Coy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Anthony Ivy
us

Anthony Ivy

“Aquaman”

15-8-0MiddleweightPFL

1636Solid
Nathan Coy
us

Nathan Coy

“Soulforce”

15-7-0WelterweightUFC

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record15-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'10"
74"Reach39,0"
176 lbsWeight170 lbs
W4R Training Center· 1622 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony IvyNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
Nathan CoyNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
42%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.40
51%
Strike defense
62%
4.69
Takedown avg.
3.17
21%
Takedown accuracy
47%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Anthony IvyNathan Coy
1550160016502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
8 (53%)
Submission
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Ivy56%
Nathan Coy 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Ivy a 56% favorite over Nathan Coy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nathan Coy's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1639), separated by just 3 points.

Anthony Ivy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Coy 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.