Anthony Johnson vs Carlos Ulberg
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-6-0Record14-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
78''Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1844
If they lose-12→ 1820
If they win+17→ 1835
If they lose-15→ 1803
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony JohnsonCarlos Ulberg
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Ulberg75%
Anthony Johnson 25%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 75% favorite over Anthony Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Johnson's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1832 vs 1818), separated by just 14 points.
Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Anthony Johnson finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Ulberg 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.