Anthony Johnson vs Carlos Ulberg
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-6-0Record14-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
78''Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Anthony Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Carlos Ulberg carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1843
If they lose-13→ 1819
If they win+17→ 1834
If they lose-15→ 1802
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anthony JohnsonCarlos Ulberg
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Ulberg67%
Anthony Johnson 33%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Ulberg a 67% favorite over Anthony Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Johnson's way (48%).
Anthony Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1832 to 1817, a 15-point edge.
Carlos Ulberg enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Anthony Johnson finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Ulberg 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.