Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Johnson vs Charlie Brenneman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record19-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'10"
78''ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAMA Fight Club

What's at stake

Anthony Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Charlie Brenneman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony JohnsonNow 1832
If they win+5→ 1837
If they lose-19→ 1813
Charlie BrennemanNow 1599
If they win+19→ 1618
If they lose-5→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
1.52
48%
Strike accuracy
57%
1.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.55
60%
Strike defense
47%
2.43
Takedown avg.
4.23
58%
Takedown accuracy
42%
77%
Takedown defense
73%
0.64
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Anthony JohnsonCharlie Brenneman
160017001800201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

17 (74%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (26%)
6 (26%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Johnson84%
Charlie Brenneman 16%Elo baseline: 79%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Johnson a 84% favorite over Charlie Brenneman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).

Anthony Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1832 to 1599, a 233-point edge.

Charlie Brenneman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Anthony Johnson finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Charlie Brenneman 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.