Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Johnson vs Daniel Cormier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record22-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
78''Reach72"
205 lbsWeight251 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anthony JohnsonNow 1832
If they win+12→ 1844
If they lose-12→ 1820
Daniel CormierNow 1823
If they win+12→ 1835
If they lose-12→ 1811

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1777 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
4.25
48%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.92
60%
Strike defense
55%
2.43
Takedown avg.
1.83
58%
Takedown accuracy
45%
77%
Takedown defense
80%
0.64
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Anthony JohnsonDaniel Cormier
1850201920202021

Win method breakdown

17 (74%)
KO/TKO
10 (45%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (23%)
6 (26%)
Decision
7 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Johnson67%
Daniel Cormier 33%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Johnson a 67% favorite over Daniel Cormier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1832 vs 1823), separated by just 9 points.

Daniel Cormier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anthony Johnson finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Cormier 68%.

Anthony Johnson and Daniel Cormier share 1 common opponent: Alexander Gustafsson.

Anthony Johnson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO (punches) · 2015
Alexander Gustafsson
WinDEC · 2015