Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Johnson vs Jimi Manuwa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jimi Manuwa

Jimi Manuwa

“Poster Boy”

17-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1657Good

Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record17-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78''ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamKeddles Gym

What's at stake

Anthony Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Jimi Manuwa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony JohnsonNow 1832
If they win+6→ 1838
If they lose-18→ 1814
Jimi ManuwaNow 1657
If they win+23→ 1680
If they lose-9→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
3.43
48%
Strike accuracy
54%
1.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.97
60%
Strike defense
49%
2.43
Takedown avg.
0.53
58%
Takedown accuracy
19%
77%
Takedown defense
71%
0.64
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Anthony JohnsonJimi Manuwa
1650170017501800185020172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

17 (74%)
KO/TKO
15 (88%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
6 (26%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Johnson83%
Jimi Manuwa 17%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Johnson a 83% favorite over Jimi Manuwa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Anthony Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1832 to 1657, a 175-point edge.

Jimi Manuwa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Anthony Johnson finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Jimi Manuwa 94%.

Anthony Johnson and Jimi Manuwa share 1 common opponent: Alexander Gustafsson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO (punches) · 2015
Alexander Gustafsson
LossKO/TKO · 2014