Anthony Johnson vs Kevin Burns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-6-0Record12-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
78''ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamGrudge Training Center
What's at stake
Anthony Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Kevin Burns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1837
If they lose-19→ 1813
If they win+26→ 1606
If they lose-6→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony JohnsonKevin Burns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anthony Johnson83%
Kevin Burns 17%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Johnson a 83% favorite over Kevin Burns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Anthony Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1832 to 1580, a 252-point edge.
Anthony Johnson finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Burns 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.