Anthony Johnson vs Magomed Ankalaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-6-0Record21-2-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78''Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamGorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Anthony Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1845
If they lose-11→ 1821
If they win+15→ 1863
If they lose-17→ 1831
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony JohnsonMagomed Ankalaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Ankalaev72%
Anthony Johnson 28%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 72% favorite over Anthony Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1832, a 16-point edge.
Anthony Johnson finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Ankalaev 52%.
Anthony Johnson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.