Combat Edge Intelligence

Anthony Johnson vs Phil Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Davis
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Phil Davis

“Mr. Wonderful”

24-7-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1739Good

Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record24-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
78''ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

Anthony Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Phil Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anthony JohnsonNow 1832
If they win+9→ 1841
If they lose-15→ 1817
Phil DavisNow 1739
If they win+15→ 1754
If they lose-9→ 1730

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
48%
Strike accuracy
35%
1.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.39
60%
Strike defense
72%
2.43
Takedown avg.
2.76
58%
Takedown accuracy
36%
77%
Takedown defense
72%
0.64
Submission avg.
0.53

Trajectory

Anthony JohnsonPhil Davis
1750180018502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

17 (74%)
KO/TKO
6 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (21%)
6 (26%)
Decision
13 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Anthony Johnson69%
Phil Davis 31%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Anthony Johnson a 69% favorite over Phil Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Anthony Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1832 to 1739, a 93-point edge.

Anthony Johnson finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Phil Davis 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.